Sunday, 2 November 2014

Expected DA-DR from Jan, 2015: Probability to be 113% with 6% increase

Expected DA/DR is now entered in 3rd step.  All India Consumer Price Index Number (AICPIN) for Industrial Worker is remained stationery at 253 (two hundred and fifty three) showing equal to last months' calculation i.e. 6%. In July, 2014 - 6, August,2014 - 1 and no increase in Index showing no unexpected change in future DA as speculated after August, 2014 AICPIN.  Total 6 points increase in next three months Index is showing 7% increase in future DA/DR and the other hand 3 points' total decline is showing 5% increase in future DA/DR in between both of expected numbers future DA/DR will be 6%.  Therefore most probability is showing 6% increase. See the table given below:



Expect-
ation
Increase/
Decrease
Index
MonthBase
Year
2001
= 100
Total
of 12
Months
Twelve
monthly
Average
% increase
over 115.76
for   DA
DA
announced
or will be
announced
-4Dec,132392786232.17100.56%100%
.
DA/DR from
July, 2014
-2Jan,142372802233.50101.71%
1Feb,142382817234.75102.79%
1Mar,142392832236.00103.87%
3Apr,142422848237.33105.02%
2May,142442864238.67106.17%
2Jun,142462879239.92107.25%107%
JUL+AICPIN6Jul,142522896241.33108.48%112%
Aug+AICPIN1Aug,142532912242.67109.63%
Sep+AICPIN0Sep,142532927243.92110.71%
No 3 point
decline in
next 3 month
-1Oct,142522938244.83111.50%
-1Nov,142512946245.50112.08%
-1Dec,142502957246.42112.87%
Expected DA/DR from Jan, 2015
No increase
in Index in
next three
months
0Oct,142532939244.92111.57%
113%
0Nov,142532949245.75112.29%
0Dec,142532963246.92113.30%
Expected DA/DR from Jan, 2015
1 Point
increase in
every month
or total 3
points
1Oct,142542940245.00111.64%
113%
1Nov,142552952246.00112.51%
1Dec,142562969247.42113.73%
Expected DA/DR from Jan, 2015
2 Points
increase in
every month
or total 6
points
2Oct,142552941245.08111.72%
114%
2Nov,142572955246.25112.72%
2Dec,142592975247.92114.16%
Expected DA/DR from Jan, 2015


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